TACTICAL ANALYSIS

Coventry's spending shows why AC Milan is forced to sell Rafael Leao

Jul 05, 2026 Analysis
Coventry's spending shows why AC Milan is forced to sell Rafael Leao
Share

The Milanese Restructuring: Tactical and Financial Realities

The Tactical Calculus Behind Selling Rafael Leao

The date is July 5, 2026, and European football's financial reality has officially entered the realm of the absurd. We are witnessing a transfer window where the traditional hierarchy of the continental game is not just being challenged; it is being completely inverted by the television revenue of the English Premier League.

On one side of the English Channel, AC Milan, a seven-time European champion, is preparing to dismantle its attacking core by negotiating the departure of its most talented forward. On the other side, Coventry City, a club that has just clawed its way back to the top flight after a twenty-five-year exile, is casually tossing around bids that would make most Serie A sporting directors choke on their espresso.

It is a stark illustration of the modern market. As Tottenham Hotspur open talks with Jorge Mendes over a move for Rafael Leao, the Rossoneri are forced to calculate whether a reported fee of €60-70m can fund a multi-position rebuild under Ruben Amorim.

Meanwhile, Coventry City is refusing to blink in negotiations with Brighton, seeing a £20m bid for goalkeeper Carl Rushworth rejected and reportedly returning with an even higher proposal. When a newly promoted English club can outbid the transfer budget of Italy's historic elite for a backup goalkeeper, the structural balance of European football has broken down.

To understand why AC Milan is willing to let Rafael Leao walk, one must look at the tactical shifts occurring at Milanello. Under Ruben Amorim, Milan is transitioning toward a strict 3-4-2-1 system that demands tactical discipline and narrow positioning from its attacking midfielders.

Amorim's structure does not use traditional wingers who hug the touchline. Instead, it relies on two creative inside forwards playing in the half-spaces, occupying the corridors between the opponent's midfield and defensive lines to support Goncalo Ramos.

This tactical blueprint immediately exposes Leao's limitations. The Portuguese international is a devastating isolation dribbler, averaging 4.8 take-ons attempted per 90 minutes with a 54% success rate over the last three seasons.

However, his effectiveness decreases when he is forced to play centrally in congested spaces. He is a player who requires the touchline as a reference point, using his explosive acceleration to beat his marker on the outside before cutting in late.

When forced to operate in the crowded central corridors of Amorim's system, Leao's decision-making slows. His tendency to drop deep to collect the ball also disrupts the team's attacking shape.

Furthermore, Leao's defensive output is an active liability in a high-pressing system. He averages just 0.45 tackles per 90 minutes in the defensive third, placing him in the bottom 5% of wingers across Europe's top leagues.

In Amorim's out-of-possession phase, the two inside forwards are expected to lead the first line of the press and transition into a compact 5-4-1 mid-block. Christian Pulisic, who covered an average of 11.8 kilometers per 90 minutes last season, and Christopher Nkunku, who looks set to remain at the club, fit this profile perfectly.

They offer the off-the-ball work rate and positional flexibility that Leao has consistently failed to show. For Milan, cashing in on a player who does not fit the manager's tactical vision is not just a financial necessity—it is a logical squad optimization.

The Search for "Courage" - Kerim Alajbegovic

To replace Leao's squad spot, Milan is looking toward Germany. The Rossoneri have already held talks with Bayer Leverkusen's 18-year-old Bosnian starlet, Kerim Alajbegovic, according to reports by Antonio Vitiello.

Alajbegovic is the antithesis of Leao: a highly versatile, hard-working attacker who can operate across the front line and thrives in tight, central spaces.

Alajbegovic's breakout performances at the World Cup with Bosnia, where he helped lead his nation to the Round of 32, have accelerated Milan's interest. His 74th-minute goal against Qatar in the group stage showcased his technical quality, as he received a pass under pressure, turned his marker inside the box, and curled a finish into the far corner.

His performances caught the eye of Zlatan Ibrahimovic, the advisor to Milan's ownership group RedBird. Speaking on Fox Sports, Ibrahimovic singled out the teenager for praise, highlighting the "courage" he displayed on the world stage.

What impressed him the most was the ‘courage’ shown

This praise from Ibrahimovic is rarely given to young players. It reflects Alajbegovic's mental strength and tactical maturity, qualities that make him an ideal fit for Amorim's demanding system.

At a projected valuation of €30m, Alajbegovic represents the type of smart, high-upside signing Milan must make to remain competitive. The club knows that if Alajbegovic spends another season developing under Xabi Alonso at Leverkusen, his price tag will climb beyond their reach.

By selling Leao for a premium and reinvesting half of that fee into the Bosnian, Milan can secure a player who fits their tactical future while balancing their books.

The Premier League's Draining of the Continent

Why De Zerbi's Tottenham Wants the Dribble-Monster

If Leao is a tactical misfit for Amorim's Milan, he is a dream profile for Roberto De Zerbi at Tottenham. De Zerbi's tactical philosophy relies heavily on creating artificial transitions and isolating his wingers in 1v1 situations.

The Italian manager wants his wide players to stay pinned to the touchline, stretching the opponent's back five to create massive gaps in the half-spaces. Once the opponent's fullback is isolated, the winger is given a license to destroy his marker.

Leao's ability to carry the ball over long distances and generate high-quality shot creation actions makes him an elite option for this role. Last season, Leao recorded 5.6 progressive carries per 90, frequently carrying the ball from the middle third straight into the opponent's penalty box.

Under De Zerbi's guidance, Leao would not be asked to defend in a low block or navigate congested central zones. He would be instructed to wait on the left wing, isolate his defender, and exploit the space created by Tottenham's possession rotations.

The move also offers Leao a familiar support network. Tottenham is reportedly on the verge of signing Sandro Tonali, Leao's former Scudetto-winning teammate.

The connection between Tonali's vertical passing and Leao's blind-side runs was a primary source of Milan's attacking output during their 2021/22 title run. Reuniting them under De Zerbi's high-possession model could unlock the consistency that Leao has lacked in Serie A.

The Newly Promoted Sky Blue Oligarchy

While Milan must execute complex financial gymnastics to secure their targets, Coventry City is operating with the financial confidence of a state-backed giant. Under Frank Lampard, who signed a new contract extending his stay until 2029, the Sky Blues are preparing for their first Premier League campaign in a quarter of a century.

Lampard has undergone a massive career rehabilitation in the Midlands. He took a team that was languishing in 17th place in November 2024 and guided them to the Championship title last season.

Now, as they prepare for a daunting opening weekend fixture against champions Arsenal on August 21, Coventry is spending at a rate that exposes the massive wealth disparity in modern football. The club has already completed the permanent signing of Brentford midfielder Frank Onyeka, who was key in their promotion charge.

They have also agreed to a £17.2m deal to sign 22-year-old Swiss defender Aurele Amenda from Eintracht Frankfurt, a player Lampard identified as central to his defensive rebuilding plans.

But it is their pursuit of Carl Rushworth that truly highlights the madness of the English market. As documented in the Sky Sports transfer tracker, Coventry has had a £20m bid rejected by Brighton and has returned with a higher offer for a goalkeeper who has yet to play a single minute of Premier League football.

Rushworth was excellent on loan for Coventry last season, keeping 18 clean sheets in the Championship. However, the fact that a newly promoted side can comfortably bid over £20m for a goalkeeper shows how the Premier League's bottom tier can financially outmuscle historic European clubs.

The Broken Football Economy

This transfer window is exposing a structural shift in European football. AC Milan is forced to sell one of the most talented wingers in the world to Tottenham because they cannot afford to reject a €60m offer, and they must carefully deliberate over a €30m fee for Alajbegovic.

Meanwhile, Coventry City is spending close to £40m on a center-back and a goalkeeper without batting an eye.

The English Premier League has effectively become a super league in all but name. Historic clubs like Milan are being reduced to developmental feeders for England's mid-table and newly promoted clubs.

When the financial gap between the Championship title winner and the Scudetto contenders is this wide, the competitive balance of European football is not just threatened—it is gone.

LUX Anti Slip Soccer Grip Socks

Lock down your footing and say goodbye to boot slippage and blisters.

$18.95 View Deal

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is AC Milan willing to sell Rafael Leao?
AC Milan is willing to sell Rafael Leao because the club is transitioning to a new 3-4-2-1 tactical system under manager Ruben Amorim. This setup does not use traditional wingers and instead relies on narrow inside forwards, a role that limits Leao's effectiveness as an isolation dribbler. Additionally, the club plans to use the potential transfer fee to fund a multi-position squad rebuild.
Who is in talks to sign Rafael Leao from AC Milan?
Tottenham Hotspur has opened talks with agent Jorge Mendes over a potential transfer for Rafael Leao. AC Milan is seeking a transfer fee of around €60-70 million for the forward, which they hope to reinvest in their squad rebuild under new manager Ruben Amorim.
How much did Coventry City bid for Carl Rushworth?
Newly promoted Premier League club Coventry City tabled a £20 million bid for Brighton goalkeeper Carl Rushworth. Although Brighton rejected this initial offer, Coventry is reportedly returning with an even higher proposal, illustrating the financial power of English clubs compared to historic European giants.
Why doesn't Rafael Leao fit Ruben Amorim's tactics?
Ruben Amorim's 3-4-2-1 system does not utilize traditional wingers and instead requires narrow inside forwards who play centrally in congested half-spaces. Rafael Leao thrives as an isolation dribbler on the touchline and struggles to make quick decisions in crowded central areas. Furthermore, his low defensive work rate makes him a liability in Amorim's high-pressing out-of-possession scheme.
What role does Goncalo Ramos play in Milan's new system?
In Ruben Amorim's new 3-4-2-1 system at AC Milan, Goncalo Ramos serves as the central striker. He is supported by two creative inside forwards who occupy the half-spaces and central corridors between the opponent's midfield and defensive lines, a tactical setup that replaces traditional touchline wingers.

More Coverage