🎙️ Total Soccer Show •August 12, 2026 •⏱️ 46 min

Balogun to Tottenham? This summer’s biggest American transfers | USMNT Weekly

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1. Executive Overview: Core Theses & Key Revelations

The transatlantic soccer economy has reached a watershed moment. What was once a trickle of high-upside American prospects seeking European finishing schools has evolved into a complex, multi-million-dollar web of financial engineering, multi-club conglomerates, and intense tactical specialization. On a pivotal episode of Total Soccer Show: USMNT Weekly, hosts Ryan Bailey, Joe Lowry, and Graham Ruthven convened to dissect a flurry of high-profile transfers and lingering window rumors. Their conversation offered an unvarnished audit of the United States Men's National Team (USMNT) player pool. Far from a simple roundup of transactions, the broadcast exposed a systemic paradigm shift in how elite European clubs acquire, deploy, and monetize American talent.

The core thesis emerging from this round-table analysis is twofold. First, the European journeys of marquee USMNT figures are increasingly governed by structural asset management rather than pure sporting development. The headline transaction of the summer—Gio Reyna’s transfer from Borussia Dortmund to RC Strasbourg—exemplifies this reality. Operating under the multi-club umbrella of BlueCo (owners of Chelsea FC), Strasbourg secured Reyna on a five-year contract for a reported fee of €3 million. While on paper this move provides the 23-year-old playmaker with a fresh start in Ligue 1, the analytical consensus among the hosts was distinctly cautious. Graham Ruthven argued that the move represents a defensive corporate hedge by BlueCo to lock in residual asset value rather than a genuine pathway to Stamford Bridge. With Strasbourg serving as an incubator for younger talents, Reyna finds himself in the uncanny position of being the eldest central midfielder in a youth-heavy squad, embarking on his fourth club in four seasons—a volatile trajectory that Ruthven characterized as a potential career spiral preceding an eventual return to Major League Soccer with New York City FC.

Second, the conversation highlighted the emerging role of the EFL Championship as a primary tactical laboratory for American international identity. Middlesbrough’s recruitment of Max Arfsten alongside Aiden Morris and Sebastian Soto reflects a deliberate strategy by manager Kim Hellberg to harness American athletic profiles within structured positional systems. Joe Lowry underscored the significance of Arfsten’s tactical re-education from a Columbus Crew winger into an inverted left-back at Teesside. As Middlesbrough mounts a serious promotion bid—ranked by Opta analytics as the third-best side in the division—this micro-colony of American talent represents a pragmatic alternative to top-flight benchwarming.

Furthermore, the podcast unveiled pivotal friction points across the USMNT attacking and midfield hierarchies. Folarin Balogun’s potential exit from AS Monaco, with rumor mills connecting him to Ange Postecoglou’s Tottenham Hotspur, underscores the intense demand for high-pressing, dynamic center-forwards in modern transition-heavy systems. Conversely, Ricardo Pepi’s frustration at PSV Eindhoven following collapsed moves to Fulham illustrates the developmental bottleneck facing elite back-up strikers who lack guaranteed starter minutes. In midfield, Yunus Musah’s preseason resurgence at AC Milan under newly appointed tactical architect Ruben Amorim presents a fascinating case study in pitch coverage and energy metrics, while Tyler Adams remains a specialized defensive option monitoring Premier League interest from Newcastle United and Manchester United. Together, these narrative arcs frame a broader revelation: the era of romanticized American exports is over; player evaluation has entered a cold, metric-driven reality where system fit and structural economics dictate survival.

2. Context & Background: The Landscape Leading to This Conversation

To fully grasp the stakes of the transfer window discussed by Bailey, Lowry, and Ruthven, one must examine the macroeconomic and tactical environment governing European football in the build-up to the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Over the past decade, American talent acquisition has transitioned through distinct phases. The initial wave relied on individual anomaly scouting—pioneered by figures like Christian Pulisic at Borussia Dortmund or Weston McKennie at Schalke 04. This was followed by a gold-rush era of aggressive American ownership groups and European scouts targeting MLS academies for undervalued physical profiles. Today, however, the market has settled into a far more disciplined, cold-eyed valuation phase.

Central to this landscape is the rise of multi-club ownership models (MCOs), most prominently epitomized by BlueCo's joint stewardship of Chelsea FC and RC Strasbourg, the Red Bull global network, and the City Football Group. For young players, particularly those whose market valuations have fluctuated due to injuries or inconsistent form, entering an MCO ecosystem carries profound implications. Transfer fees are frequently calibrated not by open-market bidding, but by internal portfolio accounting designed to mitigate Financial Fair Play (FFP) and Profit and Sustainability Rules (PSR) constraints. When RC Strasbourg acquired Gio Reyna for €3 million, the transaction was executed within a broader corporate architecture where low-risk, high-upside assets are stored, developed, and systematically monetized. If a player excels, they are flipped for profit to third-party clubs; rarely are they integrated into the flagship Premier League roster unless their statistical profile reaches world-class benchmarks.

Simultaneously, tactical requirements at the top of European football have become increasingly unforgiving. Modern managers operate within rigid structural frameworks that demand hyper-specific physical and cognitive attributes. In Ange Postecoglou’s high-line, relentless pressing system at Tottenham Hotspur, a striker cannot merely be a penalty-box finisher; they must possess the stamina, vertical speed, and counter-pressing intensity to lead the first wave of defensive disruption. This context explains why Folarin Balogun—despite a mixed debut campaign at Monaco—remains a coveted profile for clubs seeking a high-intensity number nine. Similarly, in Ruben Amorim’s celebrated 3-4-2-1 structure, central midfielders are tasked with covering immense lateral distance in a two-man pivot. A player like Yunus Musah, who struggled for tactical clarity under previous Milan regimes, suddenly finds his physical profile aligned with Amorim’s demand for elite ball-carrying and defensive ground coverage.

On the international front, the shadow of the upcoming World Cup hosted on home soil creates an acute sense of urgency. The USMNT talent pool is no longer satisfied with mere roster presence in Europe's top leagues. National team selection increasingly hinges on consistent, high-leverage competitive minutes. A player sitting on the bench at a Champions League club risks being bypassed by a teammate logging 3,000 minutes of grueling, high-pressure football in the EFL Championship. This dynamic frames the backdrop of the TSS episode: as the transfer deadline approaches, American players are forced to navigate the tension between brand prestige and structural playing time.

3. Deep-Dive Thematic Breakdown

3.1 The BlueCo Trap & The Gio Reyna Career Spiral

3.1.1 Structural Mechanics of the Strasbourg Move

The analysis of Gio Reyna’s move to RC Strasbourg dominated the opening segment of the podcast, drawing sharp scrutiny from Graham Ruthven. The numbers associated with the deal—a €3 million transfer fee paired with an expansive five-year contract—present a striking contradiction. On one hand, a €3 million outlay for a player once valued in excess of €40 million represents a negligible financial risk for a club backed by BlueCo’s private equity resources. On the other hand, securing Reyna to a five-year commitment signals a long-term asset lock-in designed to protect resale value rather than a short-term tactical rescue operation.

Ruthven’s critique centers on the operational blueprint of the BlueCo network. Strasbourg’s primary mandate within the group is to act as a talent incubator and profit center. Players are recruited young, given Ligue 1 exposure, and subsequently flipped to generate capital returns or funneled into Chelsea’s broader player ecosystem. For Reyna, this creates an inherent structural hazard. If he performs exceptionally in Ligue 1—posting double-digit goal contributions over 2,000 minutes—Strasbourg’s institutional model mandates a swift monetization sale. As Ruthven observed, the best-case sporting scenario for Reyna ironically results in him moving to his fifth club in five seasons by the summer of 2026. This perpetual instability directly undermines the positional and psychological continuity that the 23-year-old midfielder desperately requires to rebuild his career.

3.1.2 Tactical Fit Under Olivera & Squad Demographics

Beyond the financial mechanics, Joe Lowry and Graham Ruthven explored Reyna’s tactical environment in Eastern France. Under new manager Liam Rosenior (and the broader tactical framework established by the club's sporting direction), Strasbourg operates with an aggressive, youthful midfield setup. Interestingly, at just 23 years of age, Reyna enters the locker room as the senior statesman among the club’s central and attacking midfielders. Strasbourg’s roster is explicitly constructed around Under-22 talent, featuring an average age profile that makes Reyna an experienced veteran by comparison.

Tactically, Strasbourg’s system utilizes fluid attacking midfielders who operate between the lines—a role that theoretically suits Reyna’s innate spatial awareness, half-turn receiving skills, and line-breaking vision. However, Lowry raised a vital caveat: minutes in Strasbourg’s midfield will not be handed out as a legacy courtesy. In a squad saturated with hungry, highly athletic central midfielders competing for internal promotion within the BlueCo ecosystem, Reyna must prove his physical durability and off-ball work rate from day one. If his historical injury issues resurface, or if his defensive transition output falls below the system's baseline, he risks being relegated to the periphery of a team designed specifically to showcase younger, high-salable assets.

3.1.3 The NYCFC Specter & Career Trajectory

The most chilling analytical take of the segment came from Ruthven’s projection of Reyna’s long-term trajectory. Describing Reyna’s situation as a "career spiral," Ruthven posited that unless this Ligue 1 venture produces an immediate and sustained transformation, the player's European chapter may be rapidly closing. He highlighted the impending opening of New York City FC’s state-of-the-art stadium in Willets Point, Queens, as a natural inflection point where Major League Soccer could lure the American playmaker back home as a marquee Designated Player.

This perspective underscores the dramatic shift in perception surrounding Reyna. Once viewed as the technical crown jewel of America's golden generation, his failure to establish permanent roots at Borussia Dortmund, followed by an unsuccessful loan spell at Nottingham Forest, has eroded his market standing across Europe's top five leagues. Lowry concurred with the sentiment that Strasbourg represents a major gamble ("a giant crapshoot"), emphasizing that Reyna's success or failure depends entirely on internal variables—his health, mentality, and adaptability—rather than the specific charm of his destination.

3.2 Teesside Tactical Experiment: Middlesbrough’s American Contingent

3.2.1 The Championship as a High-Intensity Proving Ground

In stark contrast to the skepticism surrounding Reyna, Joe Lowry offered an enthusiastic endorsement of the growing American enclave at Middlesbrough. The North Yorkshire club, operating under manager Kim Hellberg, has emerged as one of the most sophisticated tactical outfits in the EFL Championship. Ranked third in pre-season promotion odds and recognized by Opta metrics as a top-tier contender, Middlesbrough offers an ideal blend of competitive pressure and tactical clarity.

The presence of three American players—Aiden Morris, Max Arfsten, and Sebastian Soto—creates a rare micro-culture of familiarity and support within a demanding 46-game league campaign. Lowry awarded a "B+" grade to Middlesbrough’s recruitment strategy, noting that the Championship’s relentless Saturday-Tuesday cadence provides the exact physical conditioning and tactical resilience required for international football.

3.2.2 Max Arfsten’s Positional Conversion

A major focal point of Lowry’s analysis was the tactical re-positioning of Max Arfsten. Initially developed as a wide attacker at Columbus Crew under Wilfried Nancy, Arfsten was deployed by Hellberg as an inverted left-back during Middlesbrough’s opening competitive victory over Wrexham in the EFL Cup. Lowry identified this positional shift as a pivotal career milestone with direct ramifications for the USMNT player pool.

From an analytical standpoint, Arfsten possesses elite technical delivery, one-on-one ball manipulation, and progressive passing vision—qualities that make him an exceptional attacking weapon from deep building zones. However, his defensive positioning and 1v1 duel success rate have historically lagged behind his offensive metrics. Lowry argued forcefully that Arfsten’s international ceiling as a traditional winger is limited, given the competition from Pulisic, Weah, and Paredes. Conversely, if Arfsten can master the defensive fundamentals of full-back play within the grueling defensive crucible of the Championship, he could solve one of the USMNT’s most chronic roster deficiencies at left-back.

3.2.3 Collective Synergy & Squad Culture

The host panel reflected warmly on the off-field dynamics at Teesside, emphasizing that shared living arrangements and mutual support among Morris, Arfsten, and Soto foster an environment conducive to rapid athletic adaptation. In a league often characterized by physical attrition and tactical pragmatism, Hellberg’s commitment to possession-based positional play ensures that these players are developing modern tactical concepts rather than merely engaging in aerial battles.

3.3 Striker Volatility: Balogun’s Spurs Links & Pepi’s PSV Bottleneck

3.3.1 Folarin Balogun to Tottenham: Tactical Compatibility

The conversation shifted dynamically to the striker market, where Folarin Balogun and Ricardo Pepi represent two contrasting cases of elite talent seeking optimal sporting platforms. Addressing rumors connecting Balogun to Tottenham Hotspur, Graham Ruthven expressed strong support for the potential transfer, framing it as a mutually beneficial alignment of tactical needs.

Under Ange Postecoglou, Tottenham’s offensive structure demands a center-forward capable of executing relentless high-intensity sprints, making diagonal runs into the channels, and pressing opposition center-backs into errors. While Monaco spent heavily to acquire Balogun from Arsenal, his output in Ligue 1 has fluctuated amid system changes. Ruthven argued that Tottenham’s tactical framework would unlock Balogun’s sharp off-ball movement. Joe Lowry agreed that Balogun’s departure from Monaco remains highly probable, assigning a "9 out of 10" likelihood to him moving during the window, even if the final destination ultimately diverges from North London.

3.3.2 Ricardo Pepi’s Stalled Exodus from Eindhoven

On the opposite end of the spectrum lies Ricardo Pepi, whose situation at PSV Eindhoven has generated significant internal tension. Lowry revealed that Pepi’s camp was deeply dissatisfied after not one, but two prospective transfer moves to Premier League side Fulham collapsed during negotiations. Despite producing outstanding goals-per-minute efficiency as a substitute in the Eredivisie, Pepi remains firmly blocked in the starting XI hierarchy behind veteran striker Luuk de Jong.

The panel dissected the dilemma facing young strikers in dominant domestic teams. While PSV offers Champions League exposure and regular domestic victories, Pepi has yet to complete a full 38-game season as an undisputed primary striker. Ruthven noted that while staying at PSV to build up stock isn't a total disaster, Pepi’s career progression requires sustained starter workloads to refine his link-up play and aerial presence under match pressure. The breakdown of the Fulham deal leaves Pepi in a delicate psychological space, needing to maintain high scoring efficiency while managing frustration over limited starting opportunities.

3.4 Midfield Recalibration: Amorim’s Milan, Adams’ Newcastle Rumors, & Pukstas’ Rise

3.4.1 Yunus Musah Under Ruben Amorim at AC Milan

The midfield landscape generated intense analytical debate, centered primarily on Yunus Musah’s operational environment at AC Milan. With Ruben Amorim taking the reins at San Siro, Musah has featured heavily throughout preseason. Ruthven highlighted Amorim’s specific tactical requirements for central midfielders: intense pitch coverage, lateral mobility, and explosive box-to-box transit to sustain his signature double-pivot system.

Amorim’s public praise of Musah’s physical capabilities indicates a potential career reprieve for the 22-year-old American. However, the hosts questioned whether this preseason integration represents a true sporting commitment or strategic value retention ahead of late-window transfer inquiries from clubs like Lazio or Leeds United. Lowry stressed that Musah’s primary developmental imperative is securing a guaranteed 2,000-minute season. Whether at Milan or elsewhere, Musah must transition from an energetic tactical wildcard into a disciplined, high-volume starting midfielder.

3.4.2 Tyler Adams: Premier League Squad Engine or Niche Specialist?

Tyler Adams’ status provided another compelling topic, as transfer rumors linked the Bournemouth midfielder with potential moves to Newcastle United and Manchester United. Analyzing these links, Lowry expressed skepticism regarding Adams’ fit at elite possession-oriented clubs, characterizing him as a highly specialized defensive engine whose primary value lies in backfilling specific roster voids.

Referencing reporting from Manchester United insiders (such as Laurie Whitwell on Talk of the Devils), the panel noted that Adams remains on scouted target lists due to his elite tackle success rates, defensive transition coverage, and vocal leadership. Priced in the £30 million to £40 million range, Adams represents a reliable, Premier League-proven defensive destroyer. However, his limitations in deep build-up play make him a less attractive option for top-four sides seeking dominant, ball-progressive pivots, making a stay at Bournemouth or a move to a mid-table side the most logically sound outcome.

3.4.3 Rokas Pukstas: The Eastern European Diamond

In one of the podcast’s most insightful deep cuts, Joe Lowry directed spotlight toward Rokas Pukstas, the 20-year-old box-to-box midfielder performing at Hajduk Split. Having registered 9 goals last season and starting the new Croatian campaign with 2 goals in 2 games, Pukstas has demonstrated exceptional scoring instinct and aerial threat from central midfield.

Lowry assigned a high probability to Pukstas securing a top-five league or upper-EFL Championship move before the deadline closes, pointing to concrete interest from Hull City. Describing Pukstas as a complete, all-action number eight without obvious technical flaws, Lowry identified him as an under-the-radar asset who could quickly ascend the USMNT midfield depth chart once placed in a higher-visibility league.

3.5 Defensive Foundation: Celtic’s American Anchor

3.5.1 Cameron Carter-Vickers & Auston Trusty Partnership

The structural breakdown concluded with a brief but impactful review of Scotland’s Premiership champion Celtic FC, where Cameron Carter-Vickers has re-established his dominance following recovery from injury. Ruthven noted that the return of Carter-Vickers has immediately elevated the performance of fellow American central defender Auston Trusty.

During Carter-Vickers’ absence last season, Trusty struggled with positional consistency under heavy defensive workloads. Reunited with CCV in Celtic’s backline, Trusty’s defensive metrics have stabilized dramatically. This partnership provides both players with valuable European continental exposure in the UEFA Champions League, reinforcing Carter-Vickers' status as the most dependable central defender in the USMNT player pool.

4. Speaker Perspectives & Analytical Contrast

The dynamic between Ryan Bailey, Joe Lowry, and Graham Ruthven throughout the episode highlighted distinct analytical methodologies. Host Ryan Bailey expertly steered the conversation by probing the tension between public transfer narratives and internal player realities. His framing forced the analysts to move beyond basic rumor reporting and confront the cold economic logic driving modern football management.

Graham Ruthven approached the discussion through a macro-economic and corporate lens. His analysis of the BlueCo multi-club model at Strasbourg and Ruben Amorim’s tactical demands at AC Milan focused heavily on institutional incentives, contract mechanics, and squad building strategies. Ruthven’s tone was marked by pragmatic cynicism, particularly regarding Gio Reyna’s career trajectory and the predatory nature of multi-club player flipping. For Ruthven, a player’s destination is often a reflection of balance-sheet optimization rather than bespoke sporting development.

Conversely, Joe Lowry provided a micro-tactical, scout-oriented perspective rooted in player mechanics and performance metrics. Lowry’s evaluation of Max Arfsten’s transition to inverted left-back at Middlesbrough, Rokas Pukstas’ goal-scoring run-times at Hajduk Split, and Tyler Adams’ ball-destruction limitations demonstrated a granular focus on how specific skill sets interact with manager systems. Lowry’s willingness to assign explicit letter grades (e.g., "B+" for Middlesbrough’s moves, "B?" for Reyna to Strasbourg) brought concrete structure to the evaluation process.

The table below summarizes the contrasting analytical perspectives expressed by the panel across key topics:

Topic / Player Graham Ruthven's Perspective Joe Lowry's Perspective Consensus Synthesis
Gio Reyna (Strasbourg) Cynical. Views 5-year deal as BlueCo asset locking. Predicts a 5th club in 5 years or an eventual MLS move to NYCFC. Cautious ("B? Grade"). Labels it a "giant crapshoot" entirely dependent on Reyna's health and mindset rather than club quality. High-risk move. Strasbourg provides minutes but structural multi-club dynamics offer little long-term stability.
Max Arfsten (Middlesbrough) Supports the Championship trend as a physical and mental crucible for American talent. Enthusiastic ("B+ Grade"). Highlights positional re-education to left-back under Kim Hellberg as USMNT career lifesaver. Exemplary move. Developing modern positional full-back traits in a top promotion-contending side.
Folarin Balogun (Spurs Rumors) Strong endorsement. Views Postecoglou's high-pressing system as ideal for Balogun's channel running. Rates move likelihood at "9/10" to leave Monaco, though uncertain if Spurs will close the deal. Balogun needs a system that prioritizes transition sprinting and high-intensity counter-pressing.
Ricardo Pepi (PSV) Acknowledges frustration over collapsed Fulham moves; stresses need for a 30+ game starter role. Sympathizes with Pepi's camp; criticizes PSV for blocking transfer paths while benching him behind De Jong. Pepi is trapped in a developmental bottleneck that threatens his national team momentum.
Yunus Musah (AC Milan) Notes Amorim's praise for Musah's energy; questions if it's true integration or pre-sale marketing. Demands a 2,000-minute starter guarantee; prefers a move down in club status to ensure consistent minutes. Musah possesses unique athletic profiles but desperately needs tactical continuity and guaranteed starts.
Tyler Adams (Newcastle/Man Utd) Views price point (£30M-£40M) as realistic for late-window Premier League squad depth needs. Skeptical of top-six fit; classifies Adams as a specialized defensive destroyer lacking build-up sophistication. Effective niche operator for transition-heavy teams, but limited in elite ball-possession setups.

5. Strategic & Industry Implications

The insights generated by the Total Soccer Show panel extend far beyond individual career moves, offering a window into broader strategic trends reshaping global football. Chief among these is the double-edged sword of multi-club ownership models for national team pools. As private equity consortia like BlueCo acquire European clubs to build multi-tiered talent pipelines, young players risk becoming financial hedging mechanisms. For the USMNT, having key figures like Gio Reyna embedded within an MCO network means their playing time and career trajectories are governed by corporate portfolio strategies rather than pure sporting merit. This development requires national team sporting directors to closely monitor how multi-club asset management affects international player readiness.

Additionally, the podcast illuminated a significant shift in how American players are evaluated by European sporting directors. The era of overpaying for American talent based on marketing potential or academy hype has fully receded. Modern European recruitment departments utilize sophisticated tracking data to evaluate physical output, pressing efficiency, and positional flexibility. Max Arfsten’s conversion to left-back at Middlesbrough and Rokas Pukstas’ high-volume box arrivals at Hajduk Split illustrate that players who possess clear, quantifiable tactical profiles are far more resilient in the market than luxury playmakers who lack defined defensive duties.

Furthermore, the discussion highlights the competitive tension between top-five league bench roles and Championship starter status. For decades, American football culture prioritized the prestige of having players attached to Premier League or Bundesliga rosters, even if they logged minimal minutes. The consensus built by Bailey, Lowry, and Ruthven signals a healthy paradigm shift: regular, high-stress starter minutes in demanding second-tier competitions like the EFL Championship are far more valuable for player development than peripheral squad roles at elite clubs. As the 2026 World Cup approaches, this pragmatic reality will likely dictate USMNT squad selection under Mauricio Pochettino, favoring battle-tested starters over benchbound stars.

6. Looking Ahead: Unresolved Questions & Key Milestones

As the transfer window approaches its final hours and the 2025/26 European season gains momentum, several critical analytical questions remain unanswered. The panel’s discussion established several benchmark metrics that will define the success or failure of these American exports over the coming months:

  • Gio Reyna’s Durability & Output Thresholds: Can Reyna log over 2,000 competitive minutes for RC Strasbourg and record double-digit goal contributions in Ligue 1? Failure to meet these benchmarks will likely cement the narrative of a career spiral and accelerate an MLS departure toward New York City FC.
  • Middlesbrough’s Promotion Push & Arfsten’s Defensive Audit: Will Kim Hellberg’s tactical experiment pay off with a Premier League promotion spot? More importantly, can Max Arfsten demonstrate sufficient defensive progression at left-back to earn a call-up to the USMNT senior squad?
  • Striker Market Resolution for Balogun and Pepi: Will Folarin Balogun secure a late-window move to a high-pressing system like Tottenham, and how will Ricardo Pepi respond mentally if he remains locked on PSV’s bench behind Luuk de Jong?
  • Yunus Musah’s Minute Guarantee: Will Ruben Amorim afford Musah consistent starter minutes in AC Milan’s midfield pivot, or will late-window interest from Lazio or Leeds lead to a last-minute transfer?
  • Rokas Pukstas’ Top-Flight Jump: Can Pukstas translate his dominant box-to-box metrics in Croatia into a successful transition to the Championship or a top-five European league?

The answers to these questions will significantly shape the structural composition of the USMNT roster heading into the 2026 World Cup cycle. The analysis provided by Total Soccer Show serves as a vital reminder that in modern football, talent alone is insufficient. Survival and success depend on finding the precise intersection of tactical fit, physical durability, and institutional alignment.

💬 Key Quotes & Speaker Breakdown

Gio Reyna transfer

"I'm a little bit confused by this deal for Gio Reyna to go to Strasbourg. It's his fourth club in four seasons. I fear that he's in a bit of a career spiral now until he joins NYCFC for the opening of their new stadium next year."

— Graham

"It is a giant crapshoot with Gio Reyna right now. I don't know if this is going to work out. I don't know if any destination would have been perfect for him because ultimately, it is about Gio Reyna far more than it is about the destination."

— Joe

Folarin Balogun transfer rumors

"I think this would be a good move [Folarin Balogun to Tottenham] because it does seem like [Ange] Postecoglou is still looking for his first choice striker. I think Spurs could do a lot worse than throwing 6 million euros at Monaco for Balogun."

— Graham

"I think it is a nine that he [Balogun] will move somewhere. I don't know if it's going to be Tottenham or not, that's how I would frame it."

— Joe

Ricardo Pepi transfer rumors

"Pepe had not one, but two moves sort of fall through with Fulham going from PSV to Fulham. If I'm Ricardo Pepi or his camp, I'm not thrilled with PSV right now."

— Joe

Yunus Musah transfer/form

"Yunus Musah has played a whole bunch during preseason. Amarim needs energy. He needs pitch coverage in that midfield unit to make that system work. He has been very positive about Musah when he's been asked about him."

— Graham

Tyler Adams transfer rumors

"I would be surprised if this happened [Tyler Adams to Newcastle], but I think Adams is at a level where he's the sort of name that would get brought up in backfilling a position conversations."

— Joe

Middlesbrough American transfers

"I give both of these moves [Aiden Morris and Sebastian Soto] B pluses. I like both of these moves. I love that there are three young-ish Americans at Middlesbrough. It seems like the place to be."

— Joe

Rokas Pukstas transfer

"Rokas Pukstas is a young center midfielder. He's been dominant in the Croatian league for a while. I think he's ready for a move. I would not be shocked at all if he were to move before the transfer window closes."

— Joe
📜 View Full Episode Verbatim Transcript 54,027 characters
Welcome to the Tunnel Soccer Show and USNNT Weekly, it's our regular parade to all things, men's national team! Today we're looking at the players who've made some of moves and those who could still find a new home in the coming weeks. So how good is Middlesbrough's new American contingent? How good will Strasbourg be for Georena? Gather around the podcast fire everybody and stick with us, we're getting into it. My name's Ryan Bailey, join me today. Oh no, don't worry, say hi Joe. Hey Ryan, I love the image of a podcast fire, we have, I hate Weather Chat to open a podcast, but it's delightfully overcast right now in the valley of the sun, which makes me feel like it could be sort of the time of year for a fire, it's probably only going to be 95 or 100 instead of 115 today, so I'm really excited about that. Can I drop a fire take? Like not, well, you know what I mean, related to actual fire. I think s'mores are like a bad dessert. I think they're just not, they're just not a good dessert. I don't know if there's any opposition to that here, maybe I've shared that before, but deep in my heart, I just don't think they're very good. Okay, we need to spend some time on this Joe Larry. What part, what component? Do you not like the ground cracker, the chocolate? I love, I love a good fire. I think I had a few pyro tendencies as a child. I like, I like a good grand cracker. I really do like a grand, probably more than most, I like a good grand. As the, I want to do a dive into one time, the one time I killed you. No, no, one time I called my mom while she was gone, I was home alone, although my cousin was over, he's, he's older than me, and we were trying to light a fire in the basement, basically. Anyway, setting all that aside, she said, she said, you can do it outside instead. So that's what we did. It was great. I think grape crackers are great, although they need to be softened somehow. I think at their best, they're either like crumbled or dipped in chocolate milk or something like that, almost like an Italian cookie, you would dip into coffee or something. Marshmallows are extremely mediocre and the chocolate that at least Americans put on them is rubbish. So. Okay, I don't know how I feel about that because I feel a lot of the situation around the small is the circumstance you're in around the fire. You made your family and friends. I think it's environmental as well. But I tell you what Joe, we have a discord patreon.com slash total soccer show where we can have such discussions and we will continue then there. And we'll also say hello to you, just turn his voice, Graham, rather than back from a weekend vacation, Graham. Hello. Hello. Yeah. So as Gary Neville calls it, a money retirement. I think that's what he refers to. As we actually had a fire pit, the the villa we were staying in. So a very bougie version of what I think we were talking about, which is more like a sort of campfire fire. I do enjoy a fire pit with a fan to take away the smell of the fire. I don't want anything that is actually sort of, you know, outdoorsy. I just want the impression of something outdoorsy to make me feel better. He's like a screen saver of a file. Exactly. Actually, that's a stay it further. Yeah. Could have just done that. You see those YouTube videos with like one hour long. It's just an hour of a fire of a digital fire. Yeah. And it has like tens of millions of views. And I was wondering, who was watching that? Graham, Graham's watching that. All of the 10 million screens. That's that simple. There we go. All right. No Taylor Oakwell today, it is the three of us to discuss USMIT weekly. We are off to a very pointed and USMIT weekly focused start, of course, on this episode. One more time patreon.com slash total soccer show is the best way to support us as well. If you'd like to do so. And thank you very much to everybody who does so. All right. We are talking transfers done and maybe soon to be done on this here episode. Graham, while you were in Spain, signing yourself or fanning smoke away from yourself, we, Joe and I discussed your arena to Strasbourg a little bit. How you feeling about that deal? Yeah, I'm a little bit confused by this deal for Joe to go to Strasbourg. I mean, the straight facts of it are that this is his fourth club in four seasons. I think we all wanted him to get away from Dortmund, right? But he hasn't been able to make anything stick. And so I fear that he's in a bit of a career spiral now until he joins NYCFC for the opening of their new stadium next year. That's how I think this European story possibly ends for for georena. ESPN have, with regards to this move, they have the FIAS 3 million euros. It's a five-year contract, which is a, that's a long contract for georena. Like I have no idea what his career looks like five years from now. And the problem with that contract is, and I've had more time to think about this, this, this deal since I think we initially spoke about it like a couple weeks ago, maybe two or three weeks go after the World Cup. The problem with that contract is that the way that Bluco operate, obviously it's Strasbourg or a Bluco club, so they're like to, to Chelsea. And so I think that's them, that five-year deal is then locking in value rather than a statement on rena. Because even if this move goes well for georena, let's just say, in league on next season, he gets 18 goal contributions and he plays over 2,000 minutes, which right now just feels like a complete fantasy, but let's just say it happens this season. The way that Bluco, not only the way they run Chelsea, but certainly the way that they run Strasbourg, they're going to want to flip him as quickly as possible, because that is the model they have with that club. They want to make a profit from these players, or they funnel them into Chelsea. I don't really envision scenario where Geo does get ever gets funneled in to Chelsea. I feel like that point of his career is past, but even if he is successful for Strasbourg, he's going to get, he's going to get moved on. So the best case scenario for him is that this time next year, it's five clubs in five seasons, even more instability for him. So it's not the move that I would have picked out for him. I think it's a surprising move given that he has 23 years old in Strasbourg. Clearly, I think see upside to this deal. There's clearly talent there. I think it's a bit of a punt from Strasbourg and from Bluco, but the hope is that he's going to play, assuming that he is fit, which is always the Geo rena thing. I think the way that they're lining up for next season, they've got a new manager Olivera. It does seem like they're going to play with attacking midfielders. It feels like he will get an opportunity. So yeah, if he ends up playing a bunch this season, then great. Maybe that's the best that we can, we can hope for. I just question like the overall strategy of this move for him. Yeah. I think you use word punt, Graham. It's a punt for Geo too, right? I mean, the reality is Geo rena could go just about anywhere and we were kind of shrug. I mean, outside of the absolute biggest clubs in the world, but it's not a question of destination, really, for Geo rena as to whether it's a great move or not, or at least whether it works out. It's a question of his fitness, his attitude and his health, and I don't know, maybe a handful of other non-sockery things. I went through and I graded each of these moves. I gave this a B with a question mark. Like, I don't know, man, it's all about Geo. At a level like Strasbourg, which is an incredibly young team, Graham, as a result of their status in Bluco, which you walked through really well. Solid team finished eighth and legal last year, but they're a young team and they have an incredibly young midfield group. Geo is 23 years old. He is the oldest of any of their center mids or attacking midfielders. Their oldest winger is 24. Like, they're going to be minutes up for grabs. Geo is one in a sea of players basically in his stage of career and whoever impresses most among that young cohort, which is the entire team basically is going to play. But Geo might impress and not play because he's not healthy or he might not impress because he's not healthy. Who knows, right? It is a giant crapshoot with Geo Raina right now. I don't know if this is going to work out. I don't know if any destination would have been perfect for him because ultimately, it is about Geo Raina far more than it is about the destination for whether or not whatever move he made would succeed. Just to clarify your status as a grade sman there, is the grade for Geo or for the team or kind of a move for the move as a whole. So I would give Geo Raina's move to Strasbourg a B question mark. I think that's about right. I'd maybe go a little bit lower, like a C, a C plus. I just want to see how it actually pans out for him. I guess the other thing to consider is there might not have been many options for Geo. Like, I can't imagine that there were countless teams scrambling to say the three basis. So three or five, whatever number you said, the fee was gram, million fee. I think you're correct about that. Yeah. So like Strasbourg may, we don't know what other options he had if any. And so Strasbourg might still be better than setting on glass glass bench for another season. So he's kind of got to make do with this situation at least for for one season. Okay. Joe Middlesbrough has got 66% more American. It's a health percentage. He's worked. I've got two more Americans Max Austin and Sebastian Bayholtz, of course, joining Ed Morris. How is your grading going for Barra and those moves? I've given both of these moves B pluses. I like both of these moves. First of all, I love that there are three young ish, I don't know, young to middle aged soccer player. Anyway, Americans at Middlesbrough, I think it's a delight. They're all living together. It sounds like it's just a great vibe. Like, I don't know. That's, that seems like the place to be. Let me just really happy. I'll go through each one briefly. I think from Max Arvstein again, I give this a B in this move to Middlesbrough. I think the championship could toughen him up a little bit. And I kind of like that as a destination for him. It also looks like manager Kim Helberg wants to use him as a leftback, at least that's where he played in Middlesbrough's first competitive game of the season that that cup went over Rexham. I like that a lot. I don't think Max Arvstein has a USMT ceiling as a winger, which is not where he's been used by Pashtino so far. I think his best chance is as a leftback if he can learn to defend because he's got a lot of attacking skill. I think attacking wise, if you could sort of separate these bits of Max Arvstein. I think his attacking skill and his on-bow skill is good enough to play at a very, very high level. Like certainly a champion's like level. As far as his attacking ability as an outside back, I think he's, he's excellent. Defensively though, he's just nowhere near. And he hasn't really had to do a lot of that in Columbus ever. And if he has to do some of it at Middlesbrough, I think that's going to be massive. And it's also not like for listeners out there who maybe don't follow the championship whole lot. It's not like Middlesbrough are a, you know, bottom of the champ bow flirting with league one sort of team. Yeah, they're one promotion. Yeah, they want promotion. And they're, they're one of the favorites to do so. According to the odds makers that I saw, they're third favorite. I think to, to finish top of the championship and Optus club rankings had them as the third best team in the championship as well. So it's not like a nonsense level. I think comparatively speaking, there's a lot to, to say about like there's, there's, an overlap between Middlesbrough's level and say like a mid to lower table team in any of the non Premier League big five leagues. I think that's sort of where now Barolthor and, and Arvstein both find themselves and I give Barolthor B plus as well. I like the idea of Barolthor in particular going to a team like Middlesbrough that emphasizes the ball. They were top of the championship last season in possession. And then I talked about on our MLS show yesterday with Jeff. The thing that holds me back on Sebastian Barolthor is I just don't think he's a reliable in possession player. He's not a player that you build through. He can hit the final ball really well, better than, than most, I think number eights really around the world. His ability to serve the ball into the box, especially is what I'm highlighting there. His set-piece service we know is brilliant. And defensively he works hard and runs hard. And there's a lot to like about that. But he's just not quite clean enough on the ball and tight spaces for me to feel like he's got a real ability to impact the national team ever really or at least right now. If Sebastian Barolthor who's been quite a late bloomer in his career and I think it's improved pretty quickly. If there's going to be an environment for him to improve that last piece of his game that I think is missing in a major way, this is it. Like go to a team that emphasizes possession stuff and see what happens. I don't really think that's works for Aiden Morris. I don't really think it's going to work for Barolthor either. But why not try? And I think Barolthor is now in a place where he can try some of those things that he's not great at. And that's good for his development. Yeah. I like both of these signings. It feels like Middlesbrough have have caught on to the fact that there's some value to find in MLS. It's one of the few markets where in the world where that's filled in half of their starting lineup. They've pillaged from Italy soccer now. I can't believe they won't play who never plays Fremeless. Fremelessly, of course. Yeah, never heard of your close personal friend. I can't believe they whift on the possibility to do the to unveil Barolthor by getting him and Morris to recreate the Taylor Swift lip sync video. And just purely to see how champo fans would have been, you know, totally normal about about that. But you did. I think they did use Taylor Swift's love story, which is the background song of that tiktok. They used the song like underneath this sort of blank Middlesbrough background, I think. I believe that was real. But they, I mean, they were cowards. I've truly they didn't finish the job. They should have just gone the full way. But yeah, I really like both of these these moves for these two players. I really like Max Arsten. And similar to what I think you were saying, Joe, I like this move because we're going to get a better idea of what his ceiling is as a player. We know what his qualities are as a creator. We also know what his weaknesses are. And that can sometimes make it difficult to place him in like an orthodox position in an orthodox system. And as far as I can see, but I play quite an orthodox system, right? I don't know if he's going to have the freedom that he had for Columbus Crew, certainly under Wilford Nancy. I could only find highlights of their EFL Cup game against reximate the weekend. But as you said, Joe, it seems like Arsten is going to be playing as like a norm core left back in that team. So I guess we're going to find out how he handles that. And I think the same kind of applies to to burrhalter, who we know as a good player, I think we collectively, or I'll speak for myself, I think I think he's good enough to for the champ, but is he good enough to be a standout player at that level? Is he capable to make the jump up to the Premier League, which is what Burr are hoping that he's going to be able to do? And going on his debut against reximate in that Cup game, I thought he was one of again, going on the highlights and also going on some of the the feedback that I've seen from Burr fans. By all accounts, it seemed like he was one of the best players on on the pitch. He gets the assist for the goal, which is a nice little header back from the byline. The finish by Willankshere is incredible. So it's not like he put it on a plate for a more anything like that, but Burrhalter created more chances than anyone else. Only two burr players had more touches of the ball than him, same with passes into the final third. So that is encouraging. And I can't wait to see how him and and Arsten and also Ada Morris fit together and and whether one, you know, whether Burrhalter limits Morris or whether Morris limits Burrhalter, I can't wait to see how that all fits together for for me. Side note, is Barra Rexam the most America soccer game outside of America? I think yes. No, unless somehow Ted Lasso's old team could play. Yes. Very good stuff. And of course, middle Spray, as you mentioned, we'll be going for a promotion. I believe they're the only team ever to not, you know, for the heavy, the whole situation with Southampton and losing their personal final beginning to the play or final. That's quite a unique situation. Anyway, that'll be wanting to go a step further next season. We'll take a quick break when we come back plenty more deals to talk about, including that not limited to Diego Coccan, cooking in Denmark, Brian Reynolds, European talk, continuing down DK coming back to Orlando, and we'll look at some of the deals that could be on the table as well. What a embalagant to spurs, you say? Oh, let's talk about it. Join us then. Total soccer show. Welcome back to USMNT weekly. Let's talk about a few more deals for American players. We'll talk about Benjamin Kramaschi. Why don't we? He's sealed his move to Palmer after the loan last year. It was made permanent. What do we think? Joe, we got an American in Serie A. That's cool, right? Yeah. I give this move an A. I mean, I think Benjamin Kramaschi has not been a player that I have rated abundantly highly. That is until I think we saw a little bit more of him last season at Palmer where he finally breaks into the team, gets a couple of starts, and then goes down with a long-term injury. He tore his meniscus and basically missed the rest of the season. But Palmer clearly had seen enough in his, I think, a couple of starts to really want to trigger this deal. I'm sure it wasn't expensive for them. Kramaschi wasn't that level of prospect coming over from into Miami. But we have seen Kramaschi do some impressive things. Former USU 20, he's gotten a look with the senior national team as well. And now I think he has some skills that will actually benefit Palmer this season where we saw him have the most impact in Serie A was not in central midfield, which is where he had played most of his minutes for Club and Country. But actually, there's a right wingback. And he's got a lot of physicality. I think that's really the best part of his game. 21 years old, he is strong and relatively quick and can cover a lot of ground. He's always been sort of a range-y center-mid, rather than a technical creator or somebody you build through, like I sort of criticize with Barolther. I think Kramaschi has similar weaknesses in his game. But some of those weaknesses could be masked when he's playing a little bit further to the right. And I think there's some good evidence now that he could impact games positively in Serie A in that spot. This is a dart throw. Like from a USMD perspective, this is another dart to throw the dart board to try to find someone who can contribute in this next cycle. And I think he's in a reasonably good spot to prove himself at a good level, like relatively equivalent to the level we've been talking about at Middlesborough or some of these other clubs that we're seeing US players at. I don't think now it's as if we're not going to get good data on Kramaschi. I think we will. Palmer is a good spot for him to test himself and that they enjoyed him enough to want to keep him around. I think is a really good sign. Yeah, I've always found Kramaschi quite a confusing player. It's certainly an interesting player. I don't really know what he is. When I've watched them in the past, you know his and joy outline, what his strengths are. But yeah, sort of plotting that on a pitch in terms of what his position is. I've found it a little bit tricky. Kind of similar to, I guess I've got a better sense of what Eunice Musa is, but I think there's some overlap there with like plotting where Eunice Musa is in in any team. And that can be a strength. They're a weakness, right? If he can play in multiple positions. So I think looking ahead to this coming season, he needs to start putting up some serious minutes to sort of justify this move. He went down with the injury last season, but nonetheless only played 129 league minutes last year. So that is a big statement by Palmer that they still feel like he's worth that 4 million euro purchase fee that apparently he's he's cost. And also like to nail down a position in this team. So we have a better idea of actually where he fits into a side. And that just makes it easier to plot what his national team chances are. And so I think this is a big season coming up for for Kramaschi in Syria. Great it. I'm great it. I'll go for a B-minus if only for the sort of confusion factor. I can't I'm not entirely confident that he's going to put up like 2000 minutes for Palmer this season. But there's a chance and I think this is a good platform for him. And actually, I feel like the bottom half of Syria is actually a pretty good place for players to develop. And so I think this is a decent move. Very good. Someone else who'd be hoping for a lot more minutes this season, Diego Coccan on loan to Lingby in Copenhagen, Australia, LaMazia, graduate is Coccan. Graham, how do you feel about this? Obviously, I think the quest here is to get some first team minutes under his belt. Yeah, this is an interesting move. And the the Danish league season has already started. So Coccan has has already played three games. He's played every minute of Lingby's three Super League games so far. He's considered seven goals in those three games. So that's going to be honest. How many of those games did you watch? I only only, you know, one and a half, you know, FIFA Plus. We can't not offer me the other one. FIFA Plus is going away. It's going on to the zone. RIP. I cry. But yeah, he's considered seven goals in those three games. So that's not a great return. I watched a compilation of every involvement he had in a game against runners at the weekend. I actually find for goalkeepers, those compilations are quite handy because they don't really have to consider all that much else. The defense in front of him was a mess in that game. He was left exposed a number of times. And it also didn't seem like when he had the ball. I mean, Coccan haven't come through La Macea is someone who is comfortable in possession. But the number of times he was just lacking any kind of options playing out from the back. And there was a couple of times when he was at fault and he would spin a ball into the center of the field. But other times he'd have like one or two players and they weren't really off for an angle. So I'm not convinced this is a great team that he's joined. I think this is going to be a baptism of fire, which is to be expected for a promoted team. He's almost certainly going to be in a relegation fight. So we should apply that context. But I am excited that we're finally going to get some evidence of him playing some senior league soccer. He's not going to be Barcelona's first choice goalkeeper. He's just he's just not they do seem to rate him quite highly. He's been on their bench. He's been their beat team goalkeeper for a little while as well. But he's just not going to dislodge edge Wang Garcia. So he needs to go elsewhere. And that's what he's done here. He's also only 20 years old, which is like six years old and goalkeeper years. So I think I think I think I think this season could be tough. Like there will be some bad moments. But I don't think that rules I'm out as an option for the US in the future. There's like different rules with with goalkeeper. So I'm looking forward to see how he kind of matures over the next like five seasons. I think is the sort of timeframe for goalkeepers. And I think this is a good starting spot. Yeah, I give this move a B plus like it's a good move. You need to go somewhere alone to get minutes and see what kind of a goalkeeper he actually is at the professional level at the senior first team level. I think the move is a positive one. The more I watch of Diego Koken and he's so young, some hesitant to say this, but the less sure I am about his ability like it's way too early to judge. But I've watched a lot of his his key actions so far at Ling B in the Danish top flight. And he doesn't look comfortable on the ball, which was supposed to be the whole thing coming out of the Barcelona system is that he was going to bring something different in possession than a lot of other US goalkeepers has. But also, of course, we know the most important thing about being a goalkeeper is doing the thing that you only get to do on the field and no one else, which is use your hands. And I don't know that he's really covered himself in glory and the shotstopping side either. So it's young. He's young. It's early. All those things hold true. I just wanted to know that the more I watch of Koken, the less sort of sure I am about him at the moment. But other people who know way more about soccer than me, including Barcelona and Maurizio Pachino have rated him enough to have him around. Koken was one of the training goalkeepers of the world cup. I don't think you get that gig from the US soccer men's national team coaching staff if they don't write you to one degree or another. So I am I'm curious that I'm curious to see what this is going to look like. But I'd rather him be getting minutes at a okay level than that. This is such a sweeping generalization. But I think there's something in it. It's so rare for a goalkeeper of his age to be to stand out. And I just find like goal. I think of Matt Turner, right? Matt Turner didn't really come on the radar until what was 25 26. I just feel like for goalkeepers, we don't see things come together until they're later in their 20s, which is why I mentioned like the next five years for Koken being important. So I would agree with that, Joe. Like he's definitely raw when you watch him right now. He's still so young. I feel these these regular minutes are going to they're going to do him good. They're going to better film. Very good. Joe, quick note on Brian Reynolds who's gone to Ren for this season. He was of course in Antwerp at Westalow, which very much sounds like it should be in Game of Thrones. I'm sure the away days were tricky with Westalow. What do you think about Brian Reynolds move to France? I like this move. I give it an A as well. Brian Reynolds, I think you talked about his European journey. It is continuing right now, Ryan. I think that's the phrase you used 25 years old former FC Dallas young player moves to Roma that doesn't really work out and has spent a lot of time in Belgium since then. I think he's got a real chance to play here and there's a couple of different components to that. Ren paid a reported $5 million fee, which is not nothing for a team that's not one of the big boys in Liga. I think they have invested something in him. And it also seems like his major competition for minutes is a 31 year old on loan from Galatasaray. That's Prennestal of Frenkowski. Another name that MLS fans will remember from his time in Chicago. I think if those are your two choices, if you're Ren, if your choices are to encourage your manager to play an aging player that you don't actually have officially on your books or a young player that you just paid $5 million for, I think that's pretty clear who's going to be given a little bit of the benefit of the doubt here. I think Brian Reynolds will have a chance to give Ren a run and get a run of minutes at a level that's higher than he's been before outside of his Roma stance. I really like this move. I don't know if Brian Reynolds has any sort of future with the national team or not, but I also don't think it's out of the question. Okay, very good. Greg, many to add. I give Brian Reynolds a lot of credit for sticking it out in Europe because his career has had his European career has had ups and downs and he's bounced around a little bit, but he's played a lot of soccer these last couple seasons at Westerlow and Ren, I feel like as a step up that he has earned, and I agree that Joe, it feels like I translated a blog from French on Google and they seem to think that he is going to play. They needed a writeback, so that is positive and Ren have a good record of giving a platform to players and then moving them on, which is probably getting ahead of ourselves with Reynolds, that this feels like it could be a positive move. And as we spoke about on USMT Weekly last week, there is scope for something different on the right side for the national team in this cycle, so I don't know if that's something different. Well, we'll be Brian Reynolds, but it's not beyond the realm's affordability that he is back in our radar soon, if this move goes well. We need a Rex to move, don't we? We need Brian and Ryan together. Oh, sure. Why not? I feel about them. Yeah, why not? Joe Kevin Prattis, who's made the move, the continental move from Vosburg to Utrecht, he's got one year deal in the Netherlands. What do we feel about that? Yeah, it's a little risky, but everything for Kevin Prattis is risky. There's some Georena nest to him, which is not to say that he's the same level of talent as Georena is, but it just can't stay on the field. It seemed like maybe he was going to have an opportunity to impress in the Bundesliga after coming through a DC United, and it just never really materialized for him because he can't stay healthy. And so it's a tough spot to be in. You tried, I think, is a good level for him. Like, I was thinking maybe an MLS team would come calling. I think the Dutch League is relatively comparable in that sense. The thing that maybe concerns me a little bit about this move is it's a small, excuse me, a small sample size early on, but judging solely on the fact that Utrecht used him as a right-sided player in their first game of the season when I think he absolutely is at his best as a leftback, that worries me a little bit. So I'm sure he will play left back for them. I think he will absolutely get minutes in that role, but I would have liked to see him first and foremost in a place that was just going to lock him into that spot and give him as many minutes as he can handle in that part of the field. And I'm not sure that that's where Utrecht is right now. Graham, quick now on Dowd DK, who's making his return to your spiritual home of Orlando City, West Brom contract, he was released from that one. How are you feeling about that in his career? Obviously he's had a few ups and downs with the injuries. More recently, more downs than up, unfortunately, for Dowd DK, but he played his first minutes for Orlando in the League Cups game against Leon and Monterey, which I definitely watched him very much up to date with League's Cup. Don't ask any full lot of questions. When this happened, because this is like, this is a month old or something, this transfer, I like the DK move when it happened, then I could envisage him and Griezmann working well together and DK being the sort of batting ram and then Griezmann being, I guess, the guy on the creativity around him. And then just Nellis sort of emerged as the perfect partner for Griezmann and the only person that Antoine Griezmann trusts enough to follow on Instagram. And now I don't really know what I think of the move for Dowd DK. So I might pass that over to Joe in terms of knowledge on Orlando City, because they seem to be evolving quite quickly as a team and the team that I thought on you something about in the first half of the season no longer seems to be that team. So Joe, where do you envisage DK fitting in now that Ellis seems to be such a key part of this site? Yeah, on the bench, I think at least for the near future, which it, I don't know, it's fine, right? DK can't stand the field either. So I guess I give this move a B where he's in a familiar spot with people that he knows, at least some people that he knows and trust and vice versa. And I think that that is probably refreshing for him and could do a lot of good for him. But I don't think he should be the starter for them because then Justin Ellis right now is a much more interesting player for Orlando with more potential for them. I think probably both now and in the future when it comes to a transfer fee, I think he's going to be the backup to Justin Ellis until Justin Ellis moves on, probably at some point next year. And if DK is healthy at that point, they could just backload him into the striker spot and have him start games from that point on. It's not impossible that DK and Ellis could start together. Increasing could move into like a nominal wing or roll and then have a full back go high on that side and he can still float into what he wants. I don't think that's out of the question, but I don't think it's likely. I just don't think DK had probably a lot of options after not after career questioning injury after career questioning injury in England. I do want to imagine that he had a lot of suitors and going home is not the worst thing for him, I think. So Joe, can we make the grade of D for double D just for poetic sake? You know what? Just for you, darling, yes. Oh, you're too kind. You're too kind. Very good. Okay, those are the moves that have been done over the past few weeks and months. Why don't we take a quick break and we're going to break out the TSS could moveometer, the likelihoodometer to see which of the deals that are potentially on the table we're going to go through, following Balaghan, potentially to Tottenham. Ricardo Peppie forever flirting with Fulham and plenty more. Join us after the break. Total soccer show. Welcome back to USMNT weekly. Everybody. It's the likelihoodometer, which has been broken out here at TSS Towers. It's a little needle that's going to move back and forth here. We're going to start off Graham Rutheran, Flo Balaghan, to Tottenham. Before we start recording, I positive that I wasn't sure what Tottenham strategy was this closed season, apart from throwing money at the problem and maybe money being thrown Balaghan's way. Yeah, I mean, throwing money at the problem is better than not throwing money at the problem, which is what Spurs have done in recent years. I quite like the business that Spurs have done this summer. It doesn't feel to your point, right? It doesn't feel like they've got much of an overarching strategy besides Ask Roberta Deserbi, which players he likes and then sign some of them. I can see why Deserbi would like Fulham and Balaghan. We had a discussion a month ago where I think, Ryan, you may be asked me to speculate which team would be a good fit for Balaghan and the team that has had with Spurs. I would like to smoke. I mean, a broken clock is still right twice a day. I think this would be a good move because it does seem like Deserbi is still looking for his first choice striker. He's spoken quite positively about Richardlison, who he seems to like and wants to keep at the club. There has been some speculation that Dominic Salankay could be moved on just because he can't stay fit. He's barely played for Spurs in the last 18 months or so. If Spurs are in the market for another centre forward, I really think Balaghan would be a good fit for Deserbi ball. I think there's quite a lot of upside-in joining Tottenham right now. Surely, surely they are not going to be as bad this season as they have been in the last couple of seasons domestically. This has to be the point of the upswing, even if Deserbi ultimately ends up flaming out a couple of seasons from now. But looking at the Balaghan, we saw the World Cup for the US, the player who wants to get on the spin and attacking quick transition moments, someone who is effective at a possession as well, whose hold-up play seems to be improving. Technically, I kind of back him in that sense as well. I think Spurs could do a lot worse than throwing 6 million euros at Monaco for Balaghan, particularly in this market where like Boade is going for £120 million. Diomand is £145 million player or Euro player now. Balaghan's not quite up to that standard, but I can see how he could fit into this first team. Zero being not going to happen. Ten being definitely going to happen. What do you write it? Is this whether I think it's going to happen or how I like the fit? No, this is the likelihood. This is the likelihood. Oh, man, I mean, you're asking me to do the Ferbistia Romano act here. I will give this E7, I think. I like it. Joe, how you feel about that? I think it is a nine that he will move somewhere. I don't know if it's going to be Tottenham or not, that's how I would frame it. Although it does seem like there's a lot of logic to this first thing and it seems like talks are advancing there from remedying the reporting T-Leaves. So things spurs are the most likely destination for him, which I would be thrilled about to get to the other piece of this. I would really enjoy seeing him test himself at that level. I think Tottenham are going to be much more competent this season, low bar, bar bars, literally in the basement. But I think Balaghan to what you said Graham would be a good fit for what spurs want to do. I think he's a really good player and I think you can impact that in a positive way. So I think he will move. Monaco will cash in and they'll get their piece of the pie and Balaghan will get to go and challenge himself at a new and higher level, which is quite exciting for the US. I mean, when I suppose there's maybe not a lot of difference in level, at least in how these teams should be operating between a Tottenham and an AC Milan or something like that. I was just trying to think about when the last time the US has had a player playing at this level, like a player that you really expect to go out and and be contending for champions of spots or something. Maybe we're still a year too early on that for Tottenham. Of course, there are other US players in the Premier League, but at least for an attacker, this feels like territory that we haven't been in for quite some time from a US perspective. And it's fun. So I'm really interested in this. All right. Good stuff. Joe PSV will be defending their title in the Netherlands this season. Will they be doing it with Ricardo Pepe? What do you think? Kind of seems that way. Fullham went out and got tired of waiting in Gonzalo Garcia from Round Madrid instead. I have full of them for one of the Premier League previews that we're doing next week. So I'm fresh off of reading all about this situation. Pepe had not one, but two moves sort of fall through with full of them going from PSV to full of them. The first didn't come through on deadline day as PSV wanted to find a replacement for Pepe before they let them go. And so they didn't and they didn't. And then the second time that this all came together, there was a pretty agreed deal for the summer. And that fell through on contingencies about Pepe being injured or if he would have gotten injured, how they would have managed that situation between the two clubs. And so if I'm Ricardo Pepe or his camp, I'm not thrilled with PSV right now. Basically, there were two bites of the apple to get to the Premier League for a good, like solid, not really relegation threatened Premier League team. Although there's been a lot of difficulties. I think for fullham in this window. But still the fact that they blocked both of those moves effectively, it's frustrating. And I think from a US standpoint, it's frustrating as well. And now you've got Pepe at PSV and the athletic is reporting that that really suitors aren't exactly lining up. Like fullham was the the one that seemed to throw this along by quite some distance. The direct quote from the athletics report was other suitors haven't presented themselves yet to PSV. So maybe they're there. Maybe this is a later on the window move. Pepe is an exactly the player that you move earth earth winded fire for. So maybe there'll be something that happens on this in a couple of weeks. But if I had to do a likelihood, I'm in a rating from zero to 10 on Pepe not being at PSV, I would I would put it out of four. Okay. Graham's that line with you thinking. Yeah, thanks. So I mean, Peter Bosch has come out and said he's happy for Pepe to stay at PSV. He's still very positive about him. I don't believe PSV have signed anyone to dislodge Pepe. He started the first game of the season. There we go. So I mean, it's not the worst thing in the world. If we I like the full of move, but we spoke about this in the first half of the year, like it was always going to be a big leap for him to go to the the the Premier League improve himself. Like I don't know if it was fully earned that move. Yeah, and obviously if if you have the opportunity, you jump at it, but I don't think it's the worst thing in the world for him. He still hasn't, while he's been successful in there to visit, he still hasn't had like the full 38 game season where he scores 30 goals as PSV's first choice striker. That might have been last year had it not been for injury, but that hasn't happened yet. So if that's the season, and he might be disappointed that he's not got that move to the Premier League, but maybe not the worst thing in the world. Yeah. Okay. You're just most probably looking to get his stock up a little bit this season. I believe he's back with Parent Club, Milan at the moment, uh, links with Lazio, links with Travis on sport in Turkey at the moment. I don't know where Travis and Spore are at the moment. Eh, they're the new. So they're here. I know. I know. I've got some phone calls for myself later on. Can't wait. Um, Ruben Amarim might give him a shot though. So what, what, what do you think, Graham? Well, I think that's the interesting thing about Yunus Moussa's situation as he has played a whole bunch during preseason. And as you mentioned, Ryan Milan have a new manager. Might have heard of him before. Ruben Amarim and Amarim needs energy. He needs pitch coverage in that midfield unit to make that system work. He tends to play with the, the two, which gives them a lot to do on their own with the, the wing backs, um, on, on either side. And he has been very positive about Moussa when he's, he's asked, been asked about him. Now that might just be playing the game, right? And keeping the value high for a suitors to come in and pay a decent fee for him. Um, Lats who have been linked with him leads of a part, are partly monitoring a situation as well. So maybe there is going to be a move here after all once we get into the final couple weeks of the window. But it is worth noting that he's, he does seem to have made a pretty good impression on Ruben Amarim. So, so maybe there's going to be a reprieve here for him at Milan, possibly not as like a key pillar of that team, but maybe as a consistent depth option for them in, in, in central midfield, which would be bars on the floor for Eunice Moussa after last season. That would be an improvement on his situation at the Lanter last year. So we'll see how it pans out. I think, I think Moussa just needs to play, man. I still have, I don't know where you, where you fall on the screen. I still have Eunice Moussa stock. Like, I think, I think Eunice Moussa is a better player than, than several players that Mauricio Patrino brought to the World Cup. Like, I don't know that seem like maybe that patch ruled him out pretty quickly and, and just didn't have time or the, or the desire to go back through and reevaluate. I would be disappointed if we don't see Moussa in camp in the next year with the national team, or it doesn't need to be tomorrow. It doesn't need to be in September, October. It can be later on in the cycle. But I think Moussa still has qualities that just nobody else in this pool brings his ability on the ball to knife through pressure. His, his size and ability to control his body. I think there's a lot to like about what he brings. He's still as holds in his game. Of course he does. Although, as you would actually have been playing for that for the last season, but he went into a lot to a team that had a pretty established midfield and just didn't crack it. I don't think there's, I don't think there's real shame in that. I don't think that should borrow you from the US conversation. The US just isn't there as a talent pool right now. So I still like Eunice Moussa. I still rate him. I think he could play a meaningful, like truly meaningful role for the US in this World Cup cycle. And I, I hope that whatever he ends up, whether that is staying at Milan or moving elsewhere and I don't have a strong opinion on it at the moment. I hope that he gets to, to play some and to prove that, yeah, he, he is a guy that can actually be relied on because I think he can be. Yeah, I think Moussa's biggest problem is the options that he keeps getting brought are not the right options for him. Late last year, the option seemed to be Atalanta and Napoli, right? That was the other team that was supposedly interested in him. I mean, he didn't start for Atalanta and ended up going there. And he wouldn't have started for, for Napoli either. The teams that are being linked with him this summer, I don't think he starts for that, so I don't think he starts for Legionite at the moment. So there's definitely a player in there. It's just difficult to, I don't know how far downward dropping him to until he's a starting figure for one of these teams and the teams that keep getting liked with him. I don't think change his situation much. So that, that's why I would probably prefer he stay at Milan then, then move to yet another team who's going to have the instability. Certainly, if it's like another loan deal, and he's still not going to be a starting figure. So that, that's where he needs to, he needs to show some form of patience in that regard. As, as you've talked through a game, I think, I think I've decided that my preference for him would be to drop down far enough where he could be expected to start. Like I, I think staying in Milan would be okay. And I don't think it's impossible. He gets real run there. But I would just like some assurance. And I feel like it'd be best for him to have some assurance of, hey, I'm going to have 2000 plus minutes this season to put together tape of what I can do to show everybody, remind everybody of, of my level, rather than trying to do it in 15 minutes here off the bench, a cup start over here for 75 minutes and, and cobbling it together that way. So that's, that's what I hope to see happen for Moosa, but to your point Graham from the link so far or from staying at Milan, that's maybe not the outcome. I still back him as as a player and I'm, I'm more optimistic than not about him, but it's, it's a tricky situation. Okay. Joe, one more big name to touch upon Tyler Adams. We've seen some sniffs of some transfer rumors over the last few weeks. Newcastle being a, a big link at the moment. They, they've lost some talent in the center of the park. It's safe to say. So what do we think about Adams making a move? I would be surprised if this happened, but I think Adams is at a level where he's the, the sort of name that would get brought up in backfilling a position, sort of conversations. And I think Newcastle is an interesting one. There was some rumblings up Manchester United as well. With respect to Tyler Adams, I, I don't think he's a Manchester United level player. Maybe I'm wrong about that. Maybe there was room for a specialist like him in a team of that size. I also understand that Manchester United don't exactly play the same pep-inspired way that a lot of the other big clubs play. So he would make more sense that a Manchester United than he would at say a Chelsea or certainly a man city or even stylistically taught him, right? He wouldn't make any sense for, for those kinds of teams. Maybe, maybe I, I just don't know that I'm, I'm as sold on Adams as a player that could provide what clubs or the size of Newcastle in Manchester United are looking for for this kind of move to make sense. So I, I will say, on the likely amateur, I would, I would give this a, a two or a one. I know that the athletics, Laurie Whitwell, I know, so I was listening to an episode to talk of the Devils recently. And so it was Karl Anker, Laurie Whitwell and Andy Mitten. And they were talking about this, this third midfielder conundrum that Manchester United have at the moment, they've signed Telemens and Santos and they're weighing up whether to go for a third-century midfielder or maybe look at a left back or a left winger. And Tyler Adams has repeatedly been mentioned by those guys who obviously would, would know that he's, he's an option. He's on, he's on a list for Manchester United. So I believe that to be true, it's just whether Tyler Adams is seen as their ideal third midfielder because they need, they need legs, right? They need someone that can offer defensive instincts and cover a lot of ground and Adams when he's fit as a, as a player who takes a lot of those boxes. But for the price point that I've seen mentioned, which is like 30 to 40 million, he might be someone mentioned it returned to later in the window if they go and spend 60 million on someone like Lewis Hall. If they decide they're going to spend 60 plus on a third midfielder, it feels like they'll go for someone that's a little bit more rounded than Tyler Adams. But I wouldn't really out completely that a move could materialize for him. All right. Joe, can we finish off any other players we want to add into this conversation on the likelihood? Oh, I'll just add Rokas Pukestas, a name that that deep cut he was fans certainly will, will know, maybe others will not. A young syndrome midfielder had to exploit in Croatia. He's been there for a while and has been kind of dominant in the Croatian league for a while. He scored nine goals last season. He's got two and two games already this season. He's an every game starter for them. I think he's ready for a move. I really do. I think Pukestas is a good player who could play at a mid table non-premially big five league sort of club. I think there's real promise in the move like that for him. There's there were rumblings that came out recently about whole city when they were still in the championship last season. Them wanting Pukestas for that squad. So like a sort of rough-ish playoff contender at the championship level kind of seems like it could be a good fit for him as well, which fits into the the middle's borough combo we were having earlier. He's just a player to watch. A player that I don't think has any massive holes in his games in his game, but maybe he doesn't have any any obvious standout top to your strengths either, but he's well-rounded. All action do it all kind of number eight. And he's young still. So he is a guy that I'm a bit surprised hasn't already moved from from Eastern Europe. And I I would not be shocked at all put it in a five on the likely I'm going to be to maybe even a six if he were to move before the the transfer window closes for a lot of these bigger leagues. Very good. One of the coolest names in soccer as well. It's always jarring when you see like a Pukestas or I was scrolling through a transfer mark page yesterday and there was a messy that's not that messy, you know, like we're starting to see the next gen get these kinds of classic soccer names. It's just it fills me with joy. Do you like messy as a as a first name? No, no. Well, yes, I suppose that's true. Yes. Yeah, because I bet that's happening a lot as well. Next gen. I'd love to see it. All right, I think that'll unless Grammy have anything else to say that'll do it for USMNT weekly grams says a CCV's playing again and Celtic look a lot better shock. So I'm I'm genuinely interested to see how him and trustee get on together as the as a center back pairing because trustee without CCV last season was not the same player and now they're back together again. Everything is fine in Celtic's world. Maybe probably not. Glad to hear that. It's kind of reassurance that we got there. Graham, very good. That is it for USMNT weekly. Joe Lowry, thank you very much and do for your insight. We appreciate you. Thank you, darling. Thank you very much. Great brother. Thank you. I bail it and listen to thank you for joining us on our weekly for a into the USMNT will back next week with this one. Of course, oh, no, we won't because we're going to do Premier League previews next week. Can't wait. Lots of Premier League previews coming next week. So look out for that. But USMNT weekly will return to your feeds very soon indeed. Thank you very much. Bye now. Bye.